According to data science who will win the 2022 World Cup?
According to data science who will win the 2022 World Cup?


The 2022 FIFA World Cup kicks off next Sunday in Qatar, with 32 teams from five different regions in Asia, Africa, South America, North America and Europe qualifying for the group stage.

The best players in the world will participate in this competition, including: Lionel Messi, Neymar, Kylian Mbappe, Portugal's top scorer Cristiano Ronaldo, England captain Harry Kane, Barcelona striker and Polish star Robert Lewandowski, Real Madrid's midfielder Luka Modric. Or victorious and more.

It is expected that the 2022 World Cup in Qatar will be the last in which Portuguese star Cristiano Ronaldo and Argentine Lionel Messi will participate, as Ronaldo's participation in 2026 is unlikely as he will be 41 years old while Messi will be 39 years old.

Thus, this match is a great opportunity for fans who united their passion for football magicians and who are currently united in one question: Who will win the 2022 World Cup?

EA SPORTS, a well-known video game company, has simulated the game (FIFA 23) and simulated all 64 matches using player ratings in different game modes to predict which team will win the FIFA World Cup and which player will win the World Cup. . Golden Shoe. The results of the Qatar World Cup 2022 were as follows:

  • Argentina won the title on penalties against Brazil.
  • Argentina beat the Netherlands 1-0 in the quarter-finals and France in the semi-finals to qualify for the final against their rivals Brazil.
  • Lionel Messi scored his eighth goal in this competition, the first title for his country since 1986 and the third in history, and it will also include a trophy missing from the arsenal of champions.
  • Lionel Messi won the Golden Boot and was the best player in the tournament. In seven matches, he scored eight goals, including the decisive goal in the final.
It should be noted that EA Sport ran similar simulations in the last 3 tournaments before the 2010, 2014 and 2018 World Cups and the predictions were correct each time: Spain, Germany and France.

The Canadian company (BCA Research) ran another computer simulation at the end of October last year to predict the winning team for the 2022 World Cup, using a supercomputer also based on player statistics from FIFA matches, as well as a sample from 2006 between 2018 and the World Cup - Final 2018 witnessed 192 matches. Collegiate and 64 knockout matches. The results are as follows:

  • Argentina beat Portugal on penalties.
  • England reached the semi-finals but lost to Portugal on penalties.

It should be noted that despite their glittering careers, neither Messi nor Cristiano Ronaldo have won the World Cup with their national team, and as they approach their thirties, this may be their last chance.

(BCA Research) explained that its conclusions regarding Argentina’s victory are based on the BCA World Cup two-stage model, which combines macro and micro variables and is based on a database of player statistics from simulated FIFA matches, the model from the March 18 December presentations. 2022 The whole world will watch the final match between Argentina and Portugal, which will be a duel between Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo to determine the best player ever.

  • But Argentina has the advantage in terms of experience and success rate. It scored 5 penalty kicks in the last World Cup, and won 4 of them, with a success rate of 77%.
  • In the 2006 World Cup, Portugal defeated England on penalties, scoring 3 goals from 5 shots, with a success rate of only 60%.

Apart from the strong penalty shootout performance, Argentina entered the World Cup as the team with the highest probability, having not lost a match since July 2019. Messi is also in better shape than his rival Portugal, having scored 9 goals out of 15 and provided 10 assists so far. this season.

in the end of the day ; So far, it's clear that data science and computer simulations agree that Argentina will win the 2022 World Cup, whether they beat Brazil or Portugal in the final, but that's just an expectation and we can see a lot of changes during the match.




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